Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.501263 17.632696 20.076263 23.113584 26.828242 31.277487 37.093741
2025-05-25 12.571413 15.156607 18.380874 22.790008 28.815877 37.009090 49.461363
2025-06-01 10.973766 13.736651 17.379351 22.699225 30.578497 42.386485 62.710153
2025-06-08 9.669946 12.432114 16.222851 22.036615 31.198836 46.052056 74.497839
2025-06-15 8.848877 11.645517 15.622339 21.998719 32.649012 51.288188 91.136316
2025-06-22 7.925354 10.597167 14.490267 20.929788 32.144137 52.919088 101.321451
2025-06-29 7.136168 9.662083 13.414477 19.778777 31.248478 53.539554 109.548534
2025-07-06 6.555586 8.982638 12.655769 19.039405 30.940819 55.222750 121.294910
2025-07-13 6.682496 9.377033 13.610204 21.344349 36.830880 71.973153 187.213499
2025-07-20 6.487890 9.248952 13.696747 22.106568 39.818332 83.304820 249.088249
2025-07-27 6.077381 8.742238 13.097345 21.498181 39.730476 86.713258 284.366478
2025-08-03 5.925917 8.642839 13.182639 22.217235 42.784784 100.167523 387.242250
2025-08-10 5.605608 8.255366 12.752964 21.906095 43.485546 107.428774 476.226507
2025-08-17 5.316354 7.901230 12.354369 21.613272 44.199006 115.294722 593.535263
2025-08-24 5.083777 7.626315 12.073761 21.528605 45.437188 125.818843 774.616316
2025-08-31 4.804005 7.251687 11.577267 20.912709 45.111632 130.353258 921.701969
2025-09-07 4.620349 7.032924 11.355560 20.877468 46.416566 142.520832 1250.278906
2025-09-14 4.337373 6.623313 10.740761 19.882731 44.732458 140.748758 1356.085757
2025-09-21 4.065214 6.220565 10.116120 18.810052 42.649243 136.385888 1401.714052
2025-09-28 3.855424 5.919895 9.672580 18.120119 41.626864 136.851232 1578.197726
2025-10-05 3.969263 6.205507 10.394643 20.268680 50.045867 193.193649 5107.345241
2025-10-12 3.920719 6.190868 10.515347 20.977756 54.049585 231.053904 12988.802841
2025-10-19 3.753571 5.947251 10.150312 20.411842 53.393834 237.017592 19027.843230